UK Money News

4th March 2008
MPC 'could cut base rate'
The monetary policy committee (MPC) could spring a surprise this week and cut the cost of borrowing, according to one forecaster.
Simon Ward at New Star said that his statistical model suggests that a further cut after last month's quarter percentage point drop could be on the cards.
And, with a 90 per cent success rate in predicting the trajectory of the base rate decisions, it could be worth paying attention to.
Mr Ward explained: "The last Inflation Report indicated that the MPC expected to cut interest rates but was inclined to be cautious because of near-term inflationary pressures.
"Credit market conditions have, however, deteriorated further since its last meeting, suggesting greater downside risks to the economy and a possible inflation undershoot over the medium term."
New Star is anticipating a vote in favour of a cut by five to four votes, despite suggestions elsewhere that the rate will be kept on hold.
Last week an Adfero poll of analysts was unanimous in its verdict that the rate would be frozen, although most pundits are predicting the rate will fall in the coming months.
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